News media and government spokespeople are telling us the recession is over. They have been saying it since before the economy actually turned around. Most indicators are pointing to a recovery trend but it is slow and tedious – almost as painful as the initial downslide has been. Several opportunities still exist for backsliding and the recovery will be slower than historical norms. As the recovery gains momentum it is time for some post recession evaluation. Across the world, countries are looking to the United States to lead the recovery but that leadership is being questioned by some analysts.

People, companies and countries that were economically weak before the recession will be the slowest to see recovery. Some strong companies and well organized people have been able to tighten their belts and recover nicely. Other segments of the world economy may never recover what was lost to the recession. It has been said that money is one of man’s most important inventions. Just like most inventions money can be blamed for much human suffering. People at the lowest economic levels suffer the most direct and personal effects of an economic recession. As part of any post recession evaluation the plight of the less fortunate should be examined.

Depending on their position within the economic structure, economists have different views of the economy. They can see a world economy with international impact or a national economy and focus on one country’s efforts to recover. Very few if any economists look at the street-level people who are the most directly affected and slowest to recover in a major recession. Most economists fail to realize that any recovery must be supported by the individuals whose spending is the foundation of any economy.

An economy does not exist solely in the bank accounts of top banking executives or in the stock market. The economy has its foundation in consumer spending. Without the continued growth of consumer spending a recovery can sputter to a halt. When consumer confidence supports increased spending the economy will flourish. The stock market and the government together cannot match the positive influence of an energetic consumer base.

There are two major philosophical differences concerning the government’s manipulation of an economic recovery. Both of these concepts have some validity and both have some flaws. One side believes the better approach is to promote business investment to drive economic growth. Another side of the argument believes promoting consumer spending is the most effective way to influence the economy. Years of statistics and research still leave the question unanswered. The proper application of both approaches is the best answer. The proper balance of supply-side and demand-side influences by the government requires research and planning.

In this most recent recession the economy was falling precipitously and immediate steps were needed to halt the decline. It was not possible to spend several months in research and planning before acting. Now that the recovery has begun there is a need to do some research and planning. Adjustments are needed to correct for inflationary pressures caused by deficit spending. It is important that adjustments are well thought out and openly explained to the public. Consumer confidence is bolstered by a government with a workable plan. It is important that the public regains respect for the government.

When the members of the government use the media to bash each other personally and use hyperbole to describe their opposition to policies the net effect is an erosion of confidence in the government as a whole. Disagreements are valid. Such disagreements should be discussed with mutual respect and a willingness to find a workable middle ground. This cooperation is an important component in the post recession evaluation.

Bickering like six-year-olds is not the way to gain respect and confidence. Mature and intelligent discussion with a common goal is a much better way to improve the economy. Publicly acknowledging differences and showing a serious effort to work out an effective approach will dramatically improve consumer confidence.

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